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SPY的警铃应该响了

SPY的警铃应该响了

极速排列3ZUOZHE:Income Generator

摘要

  • SPDR标准普尔500信托基金自2018年12月以来累计上涨24.19%,仅比2018年9月创下的历史新高(293.94)低1.24%。
  • 早期预警信号随着债券市场的收益率曲线反转而发展,表明衰退条件可能迫使股市走低。
  • 新闻头条表明企业盈利强劲(由于他们已经超过分析师的预期)可能会误导看涨投资者。
  • 特定行业部门出现了明显的问题,这些综合因素可能会在达到这些高水平后降低SPY。

ZICONGDADAO2018NIAN12YUEDEJIDUANDIDIANYILAI,SPDRBIAOZHUNPUER500XINTUOJIJIN(SPY)YIJINGCHUXIANLELINGRENNANYIZHIXINDEFUSU,BINGQIESHANGZHANGLE24.19%。GENJUFactSetFABUDESHUJU,BIAOZHUNPUER500ZHISHUZHONGYIFABUYINGLIDEGONGSIZHONG,YOU76.5%DEGONGSIZAIDIYIJIDUDADAOLESHICHANGYUQI。DANZAOQIYUJINGXINHAOYIJINGYUZHAIQUANSHICHANGDESHOUYILVQUXIANFANZHUANXINGCHENG,ZHEIBIAOMINGSHUAITUITIAOJIANKENENGPOSHIGUSHIZOUDI。ZHEIGESHOUYIJIJIEDUIZENGZHANGDEYUQIXIANGDUIJIAORUO,ZHEIBIAOMINGLEGUANDESHICHANGTOUTIAOKENENGHUIWUDAOTOUZIZHE,ZHEIXIEZONGHEYINSUKENENGHUIZAIDADAOZHEIXIEGAOSHUIPINGZHIHOUJIANGDISPY。

(LAIYUAN:ETF.com)

极速排列3SPYQIANJINGDEZHUYAOWENTIZHIYIRENGRANCUNZAIYUYILIAOBAOJIANXINGYE,ZHANGAIJIJINDE14.17%。YINGXIANGYILIAOBAOJIANXINGYEDEXUDUOFUMIANYINSUDOUSHIZHENGZHIXINGDE,YINWEIDAXINGZHIYAOGONGSIMIANLINDEGUANLISHIYILIAOHEJIANGUANWENTIYIJINGCHANSHENGLEHENDADEBUQUEDINGXING。ZUIJINDEXINWENSHIJIANDAYALEXINGYEZHONGDEJIZHIGUPIAO,ZHEIJIBIAOZHUNPUER500ZHISHUDAILAILEYIXIEEWAIDEYALI。YINCI,KAOLVDAOQIYILIAOBAOJIANZUCHENGBUFENDEZHONGLIANGBAIFENBI,TOUZIZHEKENENGJIXUHUAIYISPYDEZHANGFU。GAIBUMENZHIHUIDESHICHANGYINGXIANGLI。

(来源:ETFdb.com)

极速排列3GENGWEIZHIJIEDESHI,LINGRENJINGYADESHI,DUIYUSHICHANGZHONGMINGXIANCUNZAIDEWANGSHENGHUODONGERYAN,SHANGWEIBIAODACHUGENGLINGRENGUANZHUDEYUANYIN。SUIZHESPYJIXUYICHUANGJILUDEGAOWEIJINXINGJIAOYI,TOUZIZHEYIJINGKAISHIGENGJIAYOULIDIMAIRUJIJINZUIGAOSHUIPING。

极速排列3ZAIGUOQUYIZHOU,SPDRBIAOZHUNPUER500XINTUOJIJINSHOUYIYULIURUDE8,744.9BAIWANMEIYUAN(WEIYUQIJIJINLEIBIEDEDINGBU)。RUGUOWOMENJIANGZHEIYIHUODONGYUGUOQU26ZHOUHE52ZHOUQIJIANDEPINGJUNZHIJINXINGBIJIAO,NEIMEHENMINGXIANTOUZIZHEJIANGETFFANGZAIBULIDESHUIPING。

ZAIGUOQUDE26ZHOULI,SPYYUDAOLE7,777.3BAIWANMEIYUANDELIURU。ZAIGUOQUDE52ZHOULI,SPYDELIURULIANGJINWEI61.914YIMEIYUAN。ZHEILIZUIYOUKENENGDESHI,TOUZIZHEZHENGZAIGOUMAISPY,YINWEIYUJIETFJIANGCHUANGXIAXINDECHUANGJILUJIAGESHUIPING。XIANRAN,TAMENKENENG(HUOSHENZHIKENENG)HUIKANDAOZHEIZHONGQINGKUANGFASHENG。DAN“MAIRUGAOJIA”TONGCHANGBUSHIYIZHONGGUANGFANTUIJIANJIJUYOUBAOSHOUQIANJINGDETOUZIZHEDEFANGFA。ZHEIXIEXINGWEIWANGWANGHUIDAOZHIGUANGFANDETOUJIANG,BINGBUBIAOMINGSPYDESHICHANGGUZHIJUYOUMINGXIANDEKECHIXUXINGQIANLI。

(LAIYUAN:ZUOZHE/ TradingView)

极速排列3ZAIZHEIXIELEIXINGDEQINGKUANGXIA,ZHONGYAODESHITUCHUKENENGRONGYIXIAJIANGDEGUPIAODEJUTILIZI,BINGTUOLEIJIJINZOUDI。ZAIWOMENSHANGYIPIANGUANYUSPDRBIAOZHUNPUER500XINTUOETFDEWENZHANGZHONG,WOMENTAOLUNLEQIANGSHENGGONGSI(JNJ)KENENGZAIQIJIJIANGGONGBUDECAIBAOZHONGBIAOSHISHIWANGDEYIXIEYUANYIN。

DANGGONGSIZAI4YUE16RIBAOGAODIYIJIDUSHOUYISHI,ZHEIXIEDANYOUZAIHENDACHENGDUSHANGDEDAOLEYANZHENG。ZAICIQIJIAN,QIANGSHENGGONGSIDEJINGLIRUNNIANHUAXIAJIANGLE14%,YINWEIGAIGONGSIMIANLINZHEYUQIHUASHIFENYINGERNAIFENCHANPINYOUGUANDEAIZHENGWENTIDEGUANGFANSUSONG(SHUYIQIANJI)。QIANGSHENGGONGSIHAIZHIFULEJIN3.9YIMEIYUANDEHEJIEXIEYI,LINGWAIHAIYOU25,000QIYUQICHUSEDEXUEYEXISHIYAOWUBAIRUITUOXIANGGUANDESUSONG。BENJIDU,QIANGSHENGGONGSIZONGSUSONGFEIYONGWEI4.23YIMEIYUAN,ERSHANGYIBAOGAOQIJIANDESUSONGFEIYONGWEI12.9YIMEIYUAN。

极速排列3DANDUIJNJGUJIADEYINGXIANGYOUSUOJIANRUO,KENENGSHIYINWEIGONGSIDIAOZHENGHOUDEMEIGUYINGLI2.10MEIYUANCHAOGUOLEFENXISHIDEYUQI(MEIGUYINGLI2.03MEIYUAN)。DANQIANGSHENGGONGSIDEZONGXIAOSHOUEYUQUNIANTONGQIJIBENCHIPING,QIXIAOFEIZHEXIAOSHOUE(BAOKUOTAINUOHEQITAPUTONGJIAYONGCHANPIN)NIANHUAXIAJIANGZHI33.2YIMEIYUAN。YILIAOQIXIEXIAOSHOUECHAOGUOFENXISHIYUGU(63.4YIMEIYUAN),DANYEANNIANLVJISUAN(64.6YIMEIYUAN)。ZUIZHIDEYITIDESHI,QIANGSHENGGONGSIXIADIAOLEQUANNIANDEYINGLIYUCE(MUQIANYUQIWEIMEIGU8.53-8.63MEIYUAN)。

极速排列3RUSHANGSUOSHU,ZHEIXIESHIJIANDEZONGYINGXIANGBINGMEIYOUSHIJNJDEGUPIAOZOUDI。DANGAIGUMUQIANCHUYUZHONGYAODEZULISHUIPING,ZAI2018NIANDIFUJINCHUXIANYANZHONGXIADIE。QIANGSHENGGONGSISHIYIJIAKUAYUEDUOGEXINGYELINGYUDELINGTOUYANGGONGSI,QIDUISPDRBIAOZHUNPUER500XINTUOJIJINDE1.52%GONGXIANKANQILAIGENGWEIGUANJIANZHEIZHONGBUWENDINGDESHICHANGHUANJING

YOUYUSPDRBIAOZHUNPUER500XINTUOZAICHUJI2018NIAN12YUEDEYIWAIDIDIANHOUSHANGZHANG24.19%,YINCITOUZIZHEBIXUBIMIANZAIDANGQIANZHUANGTAIXIADINGYISHICHANGDEFANRONG。ZAOQIYUJINGXINHAOYIJINGSUIZHEZHAIQUANSHICHANGDESHOUYILVQUXIANFANZHUANERFAZHAN,ZHEIBIAOMINGSHUAITUITIAOJIANYOUKENENGPOSHIGUSHIZOUDI。SPYDEJIAOYIJIAGEJINBI2018NIAN9YUECHUANGXIADEJILUGAODIANDI1.24%,BINGQIEYINGGAIGENGJIAGUANZHUZHEIGESHOUYIJIJIEDEXINWENTOUTIAO。SPYKEYIHAOBUFEILIDIJIANGZIJIBIRUXINDEGAODIANMA?JUEDUI。DANWOMENBIXUKAISHIMENXINZIWEN,ZHEIZHONGSHICHANGFANDANSHIFOUZAIJIELAIDESHIJIANNEIJIAOYI。